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On the roster: Dems throw Senate battle for a (Hicken)loop – Warren builds a powerhouse, however voters nonetheless nervous – Fox Information ballot: Large assist for checks, pink flags – Trump tries to alter the map with N.H. rally – Oh heeeeyyyy…
DEMS THROW SENATE FIGHT FOR A (HICKEN)LOOP
Whereas the residents of Colorado ought to definitely be happy to choose whomever they like for Senate subsequent yr, we definitely hope that former Gov. John Hickenlooper isn’t by with politics, since we actually identical to saying his identify.
Sure, Hickenlooper, who made historical past as the one 2020 Democratic presidential candidate to speak about having taken his mother to a porno film, has lastly bored with explaining to Iowans why he’s interrupting their breakfasts and is able to head again to the Rockies.
In his video saying the tip of his path, Hickenlooper stated that he supposed to present “severe thought” to the Senate run that his fellow Democrats have for months been pointing at like airport crews directing a airplane on the tarmac.
Having now picked up these refined clues, Hickenlooper can go from unimaginable presidential longshot to Senate frontrunner. The long-term and short-term tendencies in Colorado each look powerful for freshman Sen. Cory Gardner. The state has been shifting away from the GOP for no less than a decade and with President Trump creating severe downward pull for the celebration, Gardner was already the Dems’ number-two goal for 2020.
The number-one spot belongs to Sen. Martha McSally, who misplaced her personal bid in 2018 to reasonable Democrat Krysten Sinema however received to the Senate anyway when Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey appointed her to interchange the late John McCain. Arizona is on the identical trajectory as Colorado, and whereas much less far alongside, appears to be shifting from pink to blue with better evident velocity.
If Democrats may flip each Colorado and Arizona and retain all of their different seats (hardly a certain guess), they might be midway to the 4 seats they would wish to take management of the Senate.
It’s vital on the outset to stipulate that there are far too many variables to get a transparent have a look at what the 2020 Senate battlegrounds might be.
In some locations with in any other case secure incumbents, like Texas, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Georgia and Michigan, it may most likely solely be a race if the nationwide local weather had been at one excessive or the opposite.
In different races, there’s simply no approach to make certain. How will the retirements of incumbents in Kansas (Republican Sen. Pat Roberts), Tennessee (Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander) New Mexico (Democratic Sen. Tom Udall) play out? May Alabama Republicans truly re-nominate Roy Moore?
And it’s additionally vital to keep in mind that in swing states like North Carolina, Iowa and Maine, presidential coattails may very simply resolve the outcomes.
All that stated, although, the tip of Hickenlooper’s presidential marketing campaign is the start of a reputable Democratic effort to take again the Senate.
Dems ramp up spending on state races forward of redistricting – WaPo: “For the primary time in 20 years, Democrats are completely on the offensive in state legislative battles simply earlier than a redistricting cycle – and simply within the nick of time for the way forward for their celebration. That is the final election cycle earlier than redistricting may lock them out of energy in key states for one more decade – and severely hamper their capacity to maintain their majority within the Home. After dropping almost 1,000 seats through the Obama years, Democrats must win again as many state legislatures as potential by the tip of subsequent yr earlier than states redraw their state and congressional election districts primarily based on new 2020 census inhabitants knowledge. To that finish, Democrats’ state legislative marketing campaign arm, the Democratic Legislative Marketing campaign Committee, is racing to choose up as many as eight to 10 chambers so as to add to the eight they flipped from Republicans within the 2018 election cycle.”
WARREN BUILDS A POWERHOUSE, BUT VOTERS STILL NERVOUS NYT: “Senator Elizabeth Warren has constructed essentially the most formidable marketing campaign group of any Democratic presidential candidate within the first nominating states, raised a formidable $25 million with out holding high-dollar fund-raisers, and has risen steadily in Iowa and New Hampshire polls. … But few candidates additionally encourage as a lot fear amongst these voters as Ms. Warren does. At the same time as she demonstrates why she is a number one candidate for the celebration’s nomination, Ms. Warren is going through persistent questions and doubts about whether or not she would be capable of defeat President Trump within the basic election. The issues, together with from her admirers, mirror the head-versus-heart debate shaping a Democratic contest more and more being fought over the which means of electability and tackle Mr. Trump. … These Democrats fear that her uncompromising liberalism would alienate moderates in battleground states who’re in any other case keen to oppose the president.”
Harris’ Iowa attraction offensive beneficial properties converts – LAT: “Younger males in Elizabeth Warren T-shirts gawked and pointed their cameras as Kamala Harris labored the group in Iowa. A gaggle carrying black Andrew Yang shirts requested her for a photograph. And on the sidelines of the Democratic Wing Ding Dinner, an Iowa political ceremony of passage, an older girl looking for her pal for a selfie with the senator received a bit assist from Harris, who cranked up the goofy heat she typically radiates on the marketing campaign path. … Harris should convert Democratic voters’ curiosity into dedication to win this primary caucus state, and he or she just lately crossed Iowa on a five-day bus tour to make the case that she is their finest shot to beat President Trump. Many right here like the previous prosecutor’s toughness in debates and Senate hearings and assume the nation is prepared for a lady of coloration to be president. In particular person they typically discovered Harris pleasant and empathetic.”
It’s midnight in Andrew Yang’s America – The Atlantic: “Yang thinks he’s tapped into a brand new pressure of politics. He insists he’s not a fatalist or a nihilist. He figures himself to be an optimist, only one who sees how horrible issues are and the way a lot worse they will get, and he believes that the one option to get to the sunshine is to acknowledge the darkness. … However this fatalistic perspective additionally informs a few of Yang’s coverage proposals: Why not start to maneuver ‘our individuals to larger floor’ as a result of sea-level rise is inevitable, as he stated on the Detroit debate final month? … ‘The image that the info paints is kind of clear and darkish and dystopian,’ Yang advised me. ‘Sadly, the dystopia is about to speed up, as a result of we’re simply now having synthetic intelligence go away the lab and hitting our massive companies … It’s about to get actually bushy and nasty.’”
THE RULEBOOK: ABE SAYS
“In instances of riot, or invasion, it will be pure and correct that the militia of a neighboring State ought to be marched into one other, to withstand a typical enemy, or to protect the republic in opposition to the violence of faction or sedition.” – Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 29
TIME OUT: JIMI, JANIS AND SHA NA NA
WSJ: “To recall the record of bands and performers who performed the Woodstock Music & Artwork Truthful in 1969 is to experience rock ’n’ roll glory: Jimi Hendrix, Janis Joplin, Santana, The Who, Grateful Useless and Crosby, Stills, Nash & Younger. … It’s been stated if you happen to bear in mind Woodstock, you weren’t there… different lesser-known musicians had been there, however few bear in mind them. ‘If I convey it up, individuals assume I’m joking,’ stated Robert Leonard, a revered forensic linguist primarily based at Hofstra College in New York. He’s a former member of the ‘50s-themed group Sha Na Na, which carried out proper earlier than Hendrix closed the musical extravaganza that drew some 450,000 followers to a farm in Bethel, N.Y. Sha Na Na started as a vocal ensemble at Columbia College, and most of its members had their sights on professions apart from music. Apart from, after Woodstock and all the remainder, what’s left for an encore? ‘I performed with Jimi Hendrix. I drank with Janis Joplin,’ Mr. Leonard stated. ‘Perhaps I had performed sufficient.’”
Flag on the play? – E-mail us at HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COM with your suggestions, feedback or questions.
Trump job efficiency
Common approval: 41.eight %
Common disapproval: 54.6 %
Web Rating: -12.eight %
Change from one week in the past: down 1.6 factors
[Average includes: Fox News: 43% approve – 56% disapprove; IBD: 40% approve – 56% disapprove; Gallup: 42% approve – 54% disapprove; Quinnipiac University: 40% approve – 54% disapprove; NPR/PBS/Marist: 44% approve – 53% disapprove.]
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I’LL TELL YOU WHAT: SUMMER DOWN
This week Dana Perino and Chris Stirewalt focus on the state of affairs in Hong Kong, the horrors of the speakerphone and why the first system wants an overhaul. Plus, Chris solutions some trivia on feminine governors. LISTEN AND SUBSCRIBE HERE
FOX NEWS POLL: HUGE SUPPORT FOR CHECKS, RED FLAGS
Fox Information: “Within the wake of two mass shootings, overwhelming and bipartisan majorities of voters favor background checks on gun patrons and taking weapons from people who find themselves a hazard to themselves or others, in line with the most recent Fox Information Ballot. … On particular measures to cut back gun violence, there’s broad assist for requiring felony background checks on all gun patrons (90 %) and passing ‘pink flag’ legal guidelines that permit police to take weapons from individuals proven to be a hazard to themselves or others (81 %). Fewer, though nonetheless a large 67 % majority, favor banning assault rifles and semi-automatic weapons. That’s up from 60 % in 2018. Assist contains over half of these dwelling in a gun-owner family (53 %). Over half of independents (58 %) and an amazing majority of Democrats (86 %) favor a ban. Republicans break up 46-46 %, which is a shift from 2018 when it was 41 favor vs. 56 oppose.”
GOP ready on pollsters – NYT: “[President Trump] and his aides have but to choose what he’ll truly suggest. However they’ve commissioned a ballot by his marketing campaign to evaluate the place his supporters are on totally different gun management measures, and they’ll have the outcomes by September, when the Senate returns from summer season recess, in line with three individuals briefed on the plans. Till that occurs, the dialogue contained in the White Home about what, if something, to do about new gun measures – and Senator Mitch McConnell, the bulk chief, has warned that it must be the president who calls Republicans to motion – is essentially theoretical.”
Collins pushing onerous – Politico: “Susan Collins has watched numerous gun debates stall out over time. However this time, she says, might be totally different. The Maine reasonable has lengthy been a lonely voice on weapons within the GOP. She’s one in every of simply two Republicans left within the Senate who beforehand supported a bipartisan background checks invoice and the one Republican serving who backed an assault weapons ban. Each time she’s gotten near profitable even modest new gun laws, the trouble collapses on account of conservative opposition. However with President Donald Trump speaking up new gun laws, Collins is more and more optimistic and has assumed a central position within the burgeoning effort to discover a consensus amongst Republicans. She’s spoken to Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) and White Home legislative director Eric Ueland about potential gun security reforms and plans to speak to Senate Majority Chief Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) this week.”
The Decide’s Ruling: Red flag on pink flags – This week, Fox Information Senior Judicial Analyst Decide Andrew Napolitano explains why the federal government doesn’t have the correct below the Structure to confiscation of lawfully owned weapons: “When tragedy strikes, because it did in two mass killings this month, there’s all the time the urge to strain the federal government do one thing. Governments are animated by the idea that doing one thing – any demonstrable overt habits – will present that they’re in management. I perceive the pure fears that good of us have that an El Paso or a Dayton episode would possibly occur once more, however doing one thing for the sake of look might be harmful to non-public liberty. When the Structure was written, the concept of proudly owning arms and conserving them within the residence was widespread. The colonists had simply defeated the armies of King George III. The colonial weapon of selection was the Kentucky lengthy rifle, whereas British troopers used their army-issued model of Brown Bessies.” Extra right here.
TRUMP TRIES TO CHANGE THE MAP WITH N.H. RALLY
Boston Herald: “President Trump will maintain a re-election marketing campaign rally in Manchester, N.H., on Thursday – his first go to to the Granite State since 2016. The occasion might be held on the SNHU Enviornment, the identical location of Trump’s rally on the eve of the 2016 election. A whole lot of Democratic activists are signed as much as protest exterior the venue, in line with their organizers. Officers predict 11,000 individuals – roughly the sector’s capability – to flood the town and are warning attendees to plan forward for street closures. … Presidential campaigns are additionally pushing again in opposition to Trump’s go to to the Granite State. Former Vice President Joe Biden’s marketing campaign will maintain a ‘Stand as much as Hate’ occasion at 6 p.m.”
New Hampshire GOP frets over Lewandowski – Politico: “President Donald Trump’s Thursday night rally in Manchester, N.H., is ostensibly about ginning up assist for his reelection marketing campaign. However the state’s institution GOP class is fearful he’ll use the occasion to do one thing else: Discuss up Corey Lewandowski’s potential 2020 Senate bid. Republican Gov. Chris Sununu has relayed issues about Trump’s controversial former marketing campaign supervisor to celebration management. Tom Rath, a former New Hampshire lawyer basic and a outstanding Republican within the state, says he’s ‘not a Corey fan.’ Former GOP Sen. Judd Gregg took to the pages of New Hampshire’s largest newspaper to deride Lewandowski as a ‘thug.’ And Dave Carney, a longtime New Hampshire-based strategist who’s labored on an array of statewide Republican campaigns, referred to as the concept of a Lewandowski candidacy a ‘joke.’”
Dems to flood Granite State – WMUR: “After President Donald Trump leaves the state following tonight’s rally in Manchester, Democratic presidential candidates might be again at it. As we’ve reported, over the subsequent 5 days, Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, former federal Secretary of Housing and City Improvement Julian Castro, entrepreneur Andrew Yang, U.S. Rep. Seth Moulton, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand have multi-stop marketing campaign swings deliberate. For Booker, will probably be a key go to on Saturday as he continues his push to determine himself because the main candidate on combatting gun violence. He’ll be again using an RV on his go to, as he did in July. … He’ll additionally proceed his name to fight white nationalism two days after Trump’s rally – a rally Booker had referred to as on the president to cancel following the mass taking pictures by a white nationalist in El Paso, Texas, killing 22 individuals.”
TRUMP, FRESHMAN HOUSE DEMS RENEW SPAT, NOW VIA ISRAEL
NYT: “Israel on Thursday barred the entry of two American Democratic congresswomen who had deliberate to go to the West Financial institution, hours after President Trump had urged the nation to dam them. Mr. Trump’s intervention was a rare step to affect an allied nation and punish his political opponents at residence. The 2 congresswomen, Representatives Rashida Tlaib of Michigan and Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, each freshmen, are the primary two Muslim girls elected to Congress. Each are outspoken adversaries of Mr. Trump and have been vocal of their assist of the Palestinians and the boycott-Israel motion. The president has focused them in speeches and Twitter postings that his critics have referred to as racist and xenophobic. It was reported final week that Mr. Trump was urgent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel to disclaim entrance to the 2 girls, and Thursday morning he left little doubt.”
Cheney, Home GOP Caucus chairwoman, requires ouster of Rep. Steve King after rape feedback – Fox Information
AUDIBLE: PUT A STICK IN IT
“I’m a bit grumpy there was no lunch, now I’m realizing there was no want,” – Mayor Pete Buttigieg stated on the Iowa State Truthful on Tuesday.
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WQAD: “A 20-year-old girl referred to as the police saying her automotive had been stolen, whereas working from police, in an try and trick them into considering she wasn’t the one driving her automotive through the chase. [A Clinton County, Iowa] deputy clocked an eastbound automobile on radar exceeding the velocity restrict. When the deputy tried to carry out a site visitors cease on the speeder, the motive force sped off and ran a pink gentle… Whereas the pursuit was in progress, Clinton County Communications obtained a 911 name from a Rachel Thornburg stating that her automotive had simply been stolen from Low Moor. She claimed that she had left the keys within the automotive which was a 1998 gray Buick Century. This was the identical automobile that the deputy sheriff was pursuing. … Finally, the Iowa State Patrol was capable of efficiently deploy Cease Sticks that flattened the tires of the Buick. … The driving force was none apart from Rachel Thornburg…”
AND NOW, A WORD FROM CHARLES…
“Successful is nice. You get to hoot and holler, hoist the trophy, bathe in champagne, journey the open parade automotive and boycott the White Home victory ceremony (select your trigger). However, as most who’ve engaged in aggressive sports activities know, there’s nothing to match the amplitude of emotion introduced by dropping.” – Charles Krauthammer (1950-2018) writing in The Washington Submit on June 29, 2017.
Chris Stirewalt is the politics editor for Fox Information. Liz Friden contributed to this report. Need FOX Information Halftime Report in your inbox day by day? Enroll right here.